OP 05 October, 2023 - 05:02 PM
(This post was last modified: 09 October, 2023 - 02:53 PM by IDaredevil. Edited 3 times in total.)
How to profit on the news
Since its inception, the cryptocurrency market has been very sensitive to the information background. Yes, all markets are sensitive to news, but in cryptocurrency this is especially pronounced due to:
In other words, it is possible to profit on the news by utilizing pumps and dumps that trigger high profile news events. Some events, such as a Fed rate hike, can resonate with the entire crypto market, while others provoke a reaction on a specific segment or only a single coin. The ability to gather news about such events and react to them in time is the basis of the strategy of trading on news.
Strategy of trading on news
At first glance, a news trading strategy is one of the simplest on the market and requires only two actions from the trader:
What news to watch out for
There are several categories of news that can help predict the price movements of a particular cryptocurrency or the market as a whole:
All received news should be marked as "good" or "bad". The former can cause a price dump, the latter can cause a price dump. Sometimes putting news into a particular category is easy, sometimes it is more difficult, and sometimes it may not cause a market reaction at all. Let's look at a few examples of good and bad news to see how this works:
Examples of good news
One of the most anticipated bullish news of recent times is the Ethereum Merge. The merge should turn ETH into a deflationary asset and boost demand for it from potential validators. Recall that The Merge took place on September 15 and here is the Ethereum price chart on that day:
The second example - a major upgrade of Vasil is scheduled for September 22 in the Cardano network, which should increase network capacity and reduce transaction fees. As you can see, on that day Cardano's native token $ADA started to grow rapidly:
Examples of bad news
Bad news works the same way, only in reverse. This is what happened, for example, to the price of ETH right after The Merge, when the head of the SEC said that PoS cryptocurrencies can qualify as securities:
Another example is the infamous LUNC (the native token of the Terra ecosystem). It rebounded nicely and held up well for a while until Do Kwon got into trouble with the Seoul prosecutor's office:
Since its inception, the cryptocurrency market has been very sensitive to the information background. Yes, all markets are sensitive to news, but in cryptocurrency this is especially pronounced due to:
- relatively low capitalization;
- lack of specialized education of the majority of traders and investors;
- general market volatility.
In other words, it is possible to profit on the news by utilizing pumps and dumps that trigger high profile news events. Some events, such as a Fed rate hike, can resonate with the entire crypto market, while others provoke a reaction on a specific segment or only a single coin. The ability to gather news about such events and react to them in time is the basis of the strategy of trading on news.
Strategy of trading on news
At first glance, a news trading strategy is one of the simplest on the market and requires only two actions from the trader:
- Buy on good news - good news is likely to attract the attention of other market participants and give investors hope for growth. This means that after the release of good news, there will be more demand for the asset or the market as a whole, meaning prices will go up.
- Sell on bad news - bad news has the opposite effect, it indicates project failure and increases the risk of the investment. Many investors will choose to dump too risky assets from their portfolio or at least reduce their exposure. This will lead to sales and prices will go down, which means you need to sell before the price collapses.
- Where do you get your news?
- How can you tell if the news is bad or good?
- How to understand how important the event is for holders?
- How to make trades before the bulk of traders react?
What news to watch out for
There are several categories of news that can help predict the price movements of a particular cryptocurrency or the market as a whole:
- Project Announcements.
- Havernance proposals.
- Political events.
- Economic events.
- Investment fund announcements.
- Whale actions and transactions.
All received news should be marked as "good" or "bad". The former can cause a price dump, the latter can cause a price dump. Sometimes putting news into a particular category is easy, sometimes it is more difficult, and sometimes it may not cause a market reaction at all. Let's look at a few examples of good and bad news to see how this works:
Examples of good news
One of the most anticipated bullish news of recent times is the Ethereum Merge. The merge should turn ETH into a deflationary asset and boost demand for it from potential validators. Recall that The Merge took place on September 15 and here is the Ethereum price chart on that day:
The second example - a major upgrade of Vasil is scheduled for September 22 in the Cardano network, which should increase network capacity and reduce transaction fees. As you can see, on that day Cardano's native token $ADA started to grow rapidly:
Examples of bad news
Bad news works the same way, only in reverse. This is what happened, for example, to the price of ETH right after The Merge, when the head of the SEC said that PoS cryptocurrencies can qualify as securities:
Another example is the infamous LUNC (the native token of the Terra ecosystem). It rebounded nicely and held up well for a while until Do Kwon got into trouble with the Seoul prosecutor's office: